There are definite benefits to working at OMRF. And I’m not just talking about the 401k.
For a writer, getting to walk the halls with some of the finest scientific minds in the world is a real treat. During my reporting days, I was lucky to find a source who knew what he or she was talking about — here I’m lucky if I can take notes fast enough to jot down everything the scientists say.
And I was very lucky to squeeze into OMRF President Stephen Prescott’s schedule to talk about my DNA and whether or not I was going to die.
Well, the answer is yes, I will die (…and the crowd goes wild!), but probably not of a rare genetic disease and probably not tomorrow. Dr. Prescott told me about risk and how few people really understand it.
I tried to explain that I was an expert on Risk and that you just have to get Austrialia and Siam to start an empire, but Dr. Prescott said he was talking about a different kind of risk.
A lot of scientific journals and news reports use relative risk, mostly because it’s easier to calculate and it sounds a lot scarier, he said. Relative risk, for instance, told me I was 30% more likely to get Lou Gehrig’s Disease, or ALS. (Another scientist, Dr. Kenneth Hensley, told me he thinks the logic is flawed further, but that’s another topic.)
“Thirty percent sounds like a lot, right?” he asked me, as if trying to goad me to tears. “But the average risk for anybody to get Lou Gehrig’s Disease is about 1 in 100,000. Which means your additional risk actually puts you at 1.3 in 100,000. That’s not so bad.”
That 1.3 number is absolute risk, which is a more logical, and more difficult to figure, statistic. But if you talk about absolute risk, you put things in perspective and it suddenly becomes a lot clearer that I shouldn’t be freaking out about ALS.
I should be freaking out about prostate cancer, instead. After all, according to my genes, I’ve got a 1 in 3 chance of coming down with that particular malady. Also, I’ve got a bit of family history with prostate cancer. Yikes.
Do you pay attention to your family medical history? Is there anything in particular you’re looking out for or actively working against? Be the first on your block to leave a comment below.